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By the Numbers – How Keys & Stephens shape up for the US Open Final

Ros Satar
Tennis

By Ros Satar

  • We crunch the numbers between Madison Keys and Sloane Stephens as they prepare for their maiden Slam final at the US Open 2017
NEW YORK, USA – The final Slam of the year will give us another new Slam winner but who will it be – Madison Keys or Sloane Stephens?

 

Head to Head

Keys Stephens
0 1

 

The first and only time they met, Sloane Stephens was all over Madison Keys in straight sets, in Miami 2015. A lot has changed for both players, and both are coming in on impressive winning streaks. Stephens has the more match wins and more consistent run into the US Open, rounding into form well in the two Premier events leading up to the last Slam of the year.

Advantage: Stephens

 

Titles History

Keys Stephens
Titles (2017) 3 (1) 4 (0)
Slams (2017) 0 (1st final) 0 (1st final)

 

There really is not much between them in terms of silverware with Stephens maybe enjoying a little more success overall, but with Keys having won the title in Stanford this year.

Advantage: Keys

 

Year to Date/Career W/L Record

Keys Stephens
All surfaces W/L 17-8 / 150-90 14-4 / 158-106
Hard-court 15-3 / 92-60 14-3 / 103-67

Source: WTA Match Notes/SAP

There is very little to separate them with Keys marginally stronger this year by virtue of being back on court a little sooner, and with Stephens two years older having not that many more wins over the younger Keys, who came onto the tour so young, it feels as though she has been around for decades!

Deuce

 

Match Stats 2017

Keys Stephens
Tie-Breaks 4-1 4-2
Deciding sets 4-6 8-0

 

Tie-breaks

The stats are even closer this year between them with just one tie-break the difference in Keys favour

Deciding Sets

Stephens has the more decisive record when taken to a deciding set, whereas it will take time for the new-found confidence with Keys to maybe translate to those more clutch moments.

Advantage: Stephens

 

Tournament

Serve/Return

In terms of service games and return games there is not that much between them, with Keys performing just slightly better behind her own serve, as we would expect with that as a weapon, while Stephens has been a bit better in terms of getting the edge on return games. As you would expect though, Keys rules the roost with aces, and although she outstrips Stephens in terms of winners, her unforced errors could let her down on the night.

Advantage: Stephens

The US Open Women’s Final takes place on Saturday, at 4pm (9pm BST).